Free Tax Calculator · 2026
US Estimated Tax Calculator 2026
Work out your four Form 1040-ES payments for 2026, the safe harbour that costs you least, and the underpayment penalty if you miss them — with the foreign tax credit applied only where it is actually allowed.

Expected 2026 income
Credits already covering it
Your 2025 return
Enter figures for the whole of 2026. Leave the planned payment at zero to see the full penalty exposure.
Your 2026 liability
Safe harbours
Pay each quarter
$3,639
Four instalments — the first is due 15 April 2026
Payment schedule
Underpayment penalty
Your UK instalments
Each instalment is half of your 2025/26 Self Assessment tax.
Estimate for tax year 2026 using the brackets and standard deductions in IRS Revenue Procedure 2025-32, the $184,500 Social Security taxable maximum, and the 7% underpayment interest rate published by the IRS for the 2026 quarters. The foreign tax credit is applied against income tax only, because it cannot relieve self-employment tax or the Net Investment Income Tax. State estimated tax, itemised deductions, credits and the alternative minimum tax are not modelled. Not personal advice.
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How the US Estimated Tax Calculator works
This US Estimated Tax Calculator builds your 2026 liability in the order Form 1040-ES uses. It totals your ordinary income, self-employment profit and investment income, deducts half of any self-employment tax to reach adjusted gross income, applies the standard deduction for your filing status, and then runs the 2026 brackets. Self-employment tax and the 3.8% Net Investment Income Tax are added afterwards, because neither of them sits inside the bracket calculation.
It then compares the two safe harbours the statute allows and uses the smaller, since that is the least you can pay without exposure. Finally it prices the penalty as interest on each missed instalment rather than as a flat percentage, which is how the charge is actually computed.
The two safe harbours, and why the prior year usually wins
You are protected from the penalty if you pay 90% of the tax shown on your 2026 return or 100% of the tax shown on your 2025 return, whichever is smaller. Where your 2025 adjusted gross income exceeded $150,000, the second figure becomes 110%, and that threshold drops to $75,000 for anyone filing as married filing separately — a status a great many Americans with a non-US spouse are using.
The prior-year route is almost always the better one for a cross-border taxpayer. Ninety per cent of the current year is a moving target that depends on an exchange rate you cannot know in April and a British tax bill that will not be settled until the following January. Last year’s tax, by contrast, is printed on a return you have already filed. Paying to a number you can read off line 24 removes the guesswork entirely.
The June 15 extension does not move your payment dates
Americans abroad receive an automatic two-month extension for filing, which pushes the return to 15 June. It is widely, and wrongly, read as pushing the money as well. It does not. The instalment dates are set by statute at 15 April, 15 June, 15 September and 15 January, and the IRS states plainly that even where an extension applies, interest runs on any tax unpaid at the regular due date of the return.
The practical consequence is that the first instalment for 2026 falls due two months before many expatriate taxpayers have started thinking about the year at all. Because it is the earliest instalment, it is also the one that accrues the most interest — a full year of it by the time the return is due.
Why your foreign tax credit does not solve this
Most estimated tax tools treat the liability as a single number that credits reduce. For an American abroad the position is more layered, and getting it wrong is expensive in both directions. The foreign tax credit relieves your income tax. It does nothing against self-employment tax, and it does nothing against the Net Investment Income Tax, which is imposed under a separate chapter of the code that the credit does not reach.
So a partner in a London firm can hold British tax credits comfortably exceeding the US income tax and still owe 3.8% on every dollar of dividends, interest and gains above the threshold for their filing status. That surviving charge is not withheld anywhere, has no offset available to it, and is therefore collected entirely through quarterly instalments. This calculator applies the credit only where it is genuinely allowed so that the residual charge is visible rather than buried.
Six payment dates, two calendars
Britain collects through its own instalment system. Payments on account fall due on 31 January and 31 July, and each is normally half of the previous year’s Self Assessment tax. They are not required where the last bill came to less than £1,000, or where more than 80% of that year’s tax was already collected at source. Set alongside the four US dates, a cross-border taxpayer is servicing six deadlines a year.
The tax years do not align either: Britain closes on 5 April and the United States on 31 December. On the cash basis, therefore, both British instalments for one year can land inside a single US calendar year, inflating the credit available in that year and stripping the next one. Modelling the two calendars together is what turns a foreign tax credit from a theoretical relief into cash that actually lands where the liability sits.
The penalty you cannot talk your way out of
The underpayment charge is interest, applied to each unpaid instalment from its due date until it is paid or the return falls due. At the 7% underpayment rate published for the 2026 quarters, missing every instalment costs somewhere near 4.5% to 5% of the required annual payment. That is recoverable in most portfolios, but it is money given away for nothing.
What makes it worth attention is that, unlike most penalties, it generally cannot be removed for reasonable cause. The exceptions are narrow: a casualty or disaster, retirement after 62, disability, or income that genuinely arrived unevenly and is annualised on Schedule AI. A sincere explanation about a first year abroad is not among them. Meeting the prior-year safe harbour costs nothing except making the payments on time.
Common Questions
US Estimated Tax Calculator — FAQs
Who has to pay US estimated tax for 2026?
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You generally have to pay estimated tax if you expect to owe at least $1,000 in tax for 2026 after subtracting your withholding and refundable credits, and your withholding and credits will be less than the smaller of 90% of your 2026 tax or 100% of the tax shown on your 2025 return. In practice that captures the self-employed, partners, investors with substantial unearned income, and almost every American living abroad, because foreign employers do not withhold US tax at all.
What are the 2026 estimated tax due dates?
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The four instalments for the 2026 tax year are due on 15 April 2026, 15 June 2026, 15 September 2026 and 15 January 2027. Each of those dates falls on a weekday, so none of them shifts. Note that the periods they cover are not equal: the second instalment covers only April and May, which is why the gap between the first two payments is two months rather than three.
What is the safe harbour rule and how much do I actually have to pay?
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You avoid the underpayment penalty if you pay at least 90% of the tax shown on your 2026 return, or 100% of the tax shown on your 2025 return, whichever is less. Where your 2025 adjusted gross income exceeded $150,000, you substitute 110% for 100%, and that threshold is $75,000 if you file as married filing separately. The prior-year route is the more valuable of the two because it is a known number, whereas 90% of the current year can only ever be an estimate.
Does the automatic June 15 extension for Americans abroad also extend my estimated payments?
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No, and this is the most common and most expensive misreading of the rule. The automatic two-month extension moves the date for filing your return and it does not move the statutory instalment dates, so your first payment is still due on 15 April. The IRS is explicit that even where an extension is allowed you must pay interest on any tax not paid by the regular due date of the return.
Do foreign tax credits count towards my estimated tax?
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They reduce the liability you are estimating, which usually reduces the payments you need to make, but they do not reduce every part of the bill. The credit offsets your income tax only. It cannot be set against self-employment tax and it cannot be set against the 3.8% Net Investment Income Tax. A wealthy American in Britain can therefore hold enough credit to wipe out the income tax and still owe five figures of estimated tax on investment income alone, which is precisely the case this calculator models.
Why does the Net Investment Income Tax survive my foreign tax credits?
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The Net Investment Income Tax is charged under a different chapter of the code from the income tax that the foreign tax credit relieves, so UK tax on the same dividends and gains gives you nothing against it. The charge is 3.8% on the smaller of your net investment income or the amount by which your modified adjusted gross income exceeds $200,000 for single filers, $250,000 for joint filers, or $125,000 for married filing separately. Since nothing shelters it, it flows straight into your quarterly payments.
Can the underpayment penalty be waived for reasonable cause?
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Generally not. Unlike most other penalties, the underpayment of estimated tax penalty cannot ordinarily be removed for reasonable cause, which is a distinction that catches out taxpayers who assume a good explanation will fix it. The narrow exceptions cover a casualty or disaster, retirement after reaching 62, disability, and income that arrived unevenly during the year. Relying on any of them is far harder than simply meeting the prior-year safe harbour in the first place.
How is the underpayment penalty actually calculated?
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It is interest rather than a flat fine. The IRS applies the published quarterly underpayment rate to each unpaid instalment, running from the date that instalment fell due until it is paid or until the return due date, whichever comes first. The underpayment rate for non-corporate taxpayers has been 7% for most of 2026, so missing every instalment costs roughly 4.5% to 5% of the required annual payment. This calculator applies that method rather than a single flat percentage.
Is my withholding treated as paid when it was deducted?
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By default, no. Tax withheld during the year is treated as paid in four equal instalments regardless of when it was actually deducted, which usually helps you because a large deduction late in the year is spread backwards. You may instead elect to treat it as paid on the dates it was genuinely withheld, which is occasionally the better answer. This calculator uses the default even-spreading rule.
What if my income is lumpy and arrives late in the year?
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You can use the annualised income instalment method, worked on Schedule AI of Form 2210, which recalculates each required instalment by reference to the income actually received by that point in the year. It is materially more work than four equal payments, but it is the correct answer where a business sale, a bonus or a large capital gain lands in the autumn. Without it you would be penalised for not having paid tax in April on income that did not yet exist.
How does this interact with UK payments on account?
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Britain runs its own instalment system on a different rhythm. Payments on account fall due on 31 January and 31 July, and each is usually half of the tax you owed for the previous year. They are not required if your last Self Assessment bill was under £1,000, or if more than 80% of your tax for that year was collected at source. Combined with the four US dates, a cross-border taxpayer is managing six payment dates a year across two calendars.
Why do the two systems create a cash-flow problem?
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The UK tax year ends on 5 April and the US tax year ends on 31 December, so the payments you make to HMRC rarely land in the US calendar year against which you want to credit them. On the cash basis a January payment on account and a July payment on account can both fall into one US year, doubling the credit available in that year and leaving the next year exposed. Modelling both calendars together, rather than each in isolation, is the single most useful thing a cross-border taxpayer can do in the autumn.
Do I still owe self-employment tax through my quarterly payments?
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Yes, unless a totalisation agreement moves you out of the US system. Self-employment tax is charged at 15.3% on 92.35% of net profit and nothing is withheld at source, so it is collected through the same quarterly instalments as your income tax. Where a certificate of coverage places you in UK National Insurance instead, the US charge disappears altogether, which is why this calculator offers that as an option rather than assuming it.
Does the Foreign Earned Income Exclusion reduce what I have to pay each quarter?
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It reduces your income tax, so it reduces the liability the instalments are based on, but it does not touch self-employment tax at all. The result is a familiar pattern: a self-employed American abroad projects no income tax, concludes that no estimated payments are needed, and then discovers a substantial self-employment tax bill that has been accruing interest since April. Enter your profit in this calculator to see the figure that survives the exclusion.
What happens if I simply pay it all with my return instead?
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You will owe the underpayment interest on each instalment you skipped, and where the return is filed late you may also face the separate failure-to-pay penalty on top. The interest is not enormous in isolation, but it is entirely avoidable, and it is charged even where you are ultimately due a refund on some other basis. Meeting the prior-year safe harbour costs nothing beyond making the payments earlier.
How do I pay estimated tax from outside the United States?
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The IRS accepts electronic payments through its own direct payment service and the Electronic Federal Tax Payment System, both of which generally require a US bank account. Taxpayers abroad who no longer hold one usually pay by debit or credit card through an approved processor, or by international wire, and should allow for the additional days those routes take. Whatever the method, the payment must reach the IRS by the due date, not merely be initiated by it.
Should I use the 90% current-year figure or the prior-year safe harbour?
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For anyone with volatile or foreign income, the prior-year figure is usually the better choice, because it is fixed and knowable in April rather than dependent on an exchange rate and a foreign tax bill that will not be settled until the following January. If your income has fallen sharply this year, the 90% route may be cheaper, and you can switch to it. This calculator shows both and uses the smaller, which is what the rule permits.
What if I get my estimate wrong during the year?
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You are expected to revise it. If your circumstances change after the first instalment, you recalculate the remaining payments so that the total for the year still meets a safe harbour, rather than leaving the original schedule in place. A mid-year sale, a change in filing status, or the loss of a foreign tax credit all justify re-running the numbers, and doing so in September is far cheaper than discovering the shortfall in April.
Does this calculator cover state estimated tax?
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No. It models federal income tax, self-employment tax and the Net Investment Income Tax only. Several states run their own instalment regimes with their own thresholds and their own penalties, and a number of them, California among them, give no relief at all for foreign taxes paid. If you retain a filing obligation in a state after moving abroad, that liability needs to be estimated separately.
How accurate is this US Estimated Tax Calculator?
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It uses the official 2026 brackets and standard deductions, the 2026 Social Security taxable maximum of $184,500, the statutory safe harbour percentages and the current 7% underpayment rate, and it applies the foreign tax credit only where the credit is actually allowed. It does not model itemised deductions, credits such as the child tax credit, the alternative minimum tax, or state tax. For a cross-border position with meaningful investment income, treat the output as a well-founded planning figure rather than a filed number.
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